Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor

2-1
Saturday, March 14, 2026
13:00
High Confidence
Caykur Rizespor

Caykur Rizespor

Turkey. SuperLiga

AI Prediction

Predicted Winner
Trabzonspor Win
65%

Head-to-Head Statistics

Trabzonspor
3 wins
Draws
0 draws
Caykur Rizespor
3 wins
Total Matches:6
Avg Goals/Game:3.7
H2H Last 5:
LWWWW
Trabzonspor Last 5:
WWWLW
Caykur Rizespor Last 5:
DLWWD
Last Meeting
2025-10-18
1-2
away_win

AI Analysis

Summary
Trabzonspor enters this regional derby as the clear favorite, boasting superior form, a stronger league position, and home-field advantage. While Caykur Rizespor has the potential to find the scoresheet, their inconsistent away form and key absences are likely to be their undoing. We anticipate a competitive match but expect Trabzonspor's quality to secure them a victory in a game where both teams score.
Reasoning
This analysis points towards a home victory for Trabzonspor, a conclusion supported by multiple factors. Currently 3rd in the Süper Lig, Trabzonspor has demonstrated consistent, high-level performance throughout the season, particularly at their home ground. [21, 29] Their recent run of four wins in five games underscores their current momentum. [30] In contrast, Caykur Rizespor languishes in mid-table with inconsistent results, especially in away fixtures. [12, 13] Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with 75% of the last 20 meetings seeing over 2.5 goals and 65% featuring both teams scoring. [10] This trend, coupled with Trabzonspor's potent attack and Rizespor's somewhat vulnerable defense, strongly suggests that we will see goals from both sides. Trabzonspor's offensive strength should be enough to overcome a Rizespor side hampered by the suspension of forward Halil Dervisoglu and the long-term injury to defender Khusniddin Alikulov. [19, 27] While Trabzonspor has some injury concerns of their own, their squad depth appears better equipped to handle these absences. The betting odds reflect Trabzonspor's status as favorites, and our analysis aligns with the market's expectation of a home win, likely with a final score of 2-1.
Detailed Analysis
This analysis points towards a home victory for Trabzonspor, a conclusion supported by multiple factors. Currently 3rd in the Süper Lig, Trabzonspor has demonstrated consistent, high-level performance throughout the season, particularly at their home ground. [21, 29] Their recent run of four wins in five games underscores their current momentum. [30] In contrast, Caykur Rizespor languishes in mid-table with inconsistent results, especially in away fixtures. [12, 13] Historically, this fixture has produced goals, with 75% of the last 20 meetings seeing over 2.5 goals and 65% featuring both teams scoring. [10] This trend, coupled with Trabzonspor's potent attack and Rizespor's somewhat vulnerable defense, strongly suggests that we will see goals from both sides. Trabzonspor's offensive strength should be enough to overcome a Rizespor side hampered by the suspension of forward Halil Dervisoglu and the long-term injury to defender Khusniddin Alikulov. [19, 27] While Trabzonspor has some injury concerns of their own, their squad depth appears better equipped to handle these absences. The betting odds reflect Trabzonspor's status as favorites, and our analysis aligns with the market's expectation of a home win, likely with a final score of 2-1.
Trabzonspor

Overview: Trabzonspor comes into this match in strong form, sitting comfortably in 3rd place in the Süper Lig. [21, 29, 31] Their performance has been very good throughout the season, winning 63% of their matches overall. [21] Their home form is particularly formidable. Recent results include convincing wins in both league and cup competitions, demonstrating a high level of confidence and offensive capability. They have won four of their last five matches, with the only loss coming against title contenders Fenerbahce.

Tactical Notes: Trabzonspor is expected to dominate possession and apply pressure from the start, leveraging their home advantage. Their attack is potent, and they will likely look to exploit the flanks to create scoring opportunities. Despite their strong attacking record, they have shown some defensive vulnerabilities, which could give Rizespor chances on the counter-attack. The potential absence of key players like Edin Višća could impact their creative output, but they have enough squad depth to compensate.

Key Players: Paul Onuachu, Anthony Nwakaeme, Stefan Savic

Caykur Rizespor

Overview: Caykur Rizespor currently sits in 10th place in the league table and has had an average season so far. [12, 13, 19] Their recent form is inconsistent, with a mix of wins, draws, and a heavy cup defeat to Besiktas. [19, 35] They have struggled more on the road than at home. Rizespor has demonstrated they can score goals but have also been defensively frail, conceding 35 goals this season. [19] They will be missing key forward Halil Dervisoglu due to suspension, which will blunt their attacking options. [19, 25]

Tactical Notes: Rizespor is likely to adopt a cautious, counter-attacking approach. They will aim to stay compact defensively and absorb pressure, looking for opportunities to break quickly. With key striker Halil Dervisoglu suspended, they may rely on the pace of Valentin Mihaila and the creativity of Qazim Laci to generate chances. [19] Their main challenge will be containing Trabzonspor's high-powered offense, especially given their own defensive record and the long-term injury to defender Khusniddin Alikulov. [27]

Key Players: Valentin Mihaila, Qazim Laci

Betting Insights
Value Bets:
  • Both Teams to Score (BTTS) at 1.62. Head-to-head history is filled with goals, and Trabzonspor's recent defensive record isn't perfect, giving a decent Rizespor attack a chance to find the net. [10, 11]
  • Trabzonspor to win and both teams to score at 3.20. This combines the likely outcome of a home victory with the high probability of Rizespor scoring, offering significantly better returns than a simple home win bet. [7]
Risky Bets:
  • Correct Score of 2-1 at 7.5. While this is a very plausible outcome that aligns with the overall prediction, correct score betting is inherently difficult and therefore high-risk.
  • Caykur Rizespor Double Chance (2x) at 2.141. Despite Trabzonspor's strong form, an upset is always possible in a regional derby. However, given Rizespor's away form and suspensions, this is a significant risk.